Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 83.090781 92.924705 102.935232 113.857088 125.407477 137.230711 150.219606
2025-09-28 65.932016 79.939295 94.810724 111.648392 130.062652 149.480119 171.396455
2025-10-05 59.283991 76.068685 94.407145 115.674863 139.423077 164.912740 194.134514
2025-10-12 53.373596 72.143702 93.186350 118.102415 146.413946 177.243974 213.029874
2025-10-19 46.868435 66.817694 89.766753 117.491598 149.515382 184.853804 226.334258
2025-10-26 41.390850 62.182823 86.702624 116.883915 152.266519 191.773516 238.601185
2025-11-02 37.339832 58.919775 84.955479 117.539858 156.235381 199.876792 252.029795
2025-11-09 33.059906 55.006849 82.131419 116.662448 158.203411 205.519171 262.514544
2025-11-16 29.762737 52.093443 80.321752 116.818556 161.231564 212.257309 274.144786
2025-11-23 26.291437 48.664428 77.643946 115.725470 162.616990 216.962876 283.330873
2025-11-30 24.234372 47.013302 77.116022 117.190732 166.995578 225.109381 296.452525
2025-12-07 22.486040 45.657123 76.868941 118.925497 171.638367 233.522704 309.853538
2025-12-14 19.867298 42.858219 74.606435 118.045207 173.067424 238.149913 318.887051
2025-12-21 16.998041 39.427236 71.310525 115.694133 172.572263 240.403078 325.071609
2025-12-28 16.500568 39.646822 73.006208 119.818071 180.127971 252.317659 342.676949
2026-01-04 15.532887 39.027109 73.475371 122.291690 185.590433 261.694949 357.270262
2026-01-11 13.734502 36.878355 71.672204 121.669095 187.084911 266.219678 366.053635
2026-01-18 12.104507 34.851445 69.934722 121.049171 188.517653 270.621285 374.652935
2026-01-25 10.954230 33.554476 69.190866 121.718262 191.558161 276.961876 385.559298
2026-02-01 9.527747 31.593603 67.358787 120.823271 192.528345 280.717388 393.323359
2026-02-08 8.471684 30.214165 66.330813 120.982511 194.823407 286.079706 403.008241
2026-02-15 7.247873 28.339550 64.442053 119.867457 195.402212 289.275132 410.037540
2026-02-22 6.644873 27.683125 64.423941 121.362147 199.388932 296.704129 422.211116